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| New Port Richey, Florida Feb and Mar 2013 |
Back to the news: Yesterday was a great day for ME, I played
dice with Jo, Christiane and André. I won 4 games out of five!
This is extremely rare… what are the odds of that you ask?
It is one in 1023! (Notes from Christiane: there goes the statistics guy
again!)
Without giving too much game rules, let me just tell you
that it plays with 5 dice, to win you need to accumulate 10,000 points and you
need 500 points to open. If you get five one, you automatically win the game.
So, for one of the games, I was not opened yet and I threw
five ones… WOW. What are the odds of that you asked? One in 46655. (Notes from
Christiane: we were all looking at the dice, there was a one, then another,
then another…)
This weekend, the power ball is over 120 millions… I have to
go and get tickets. If you don’t get any news from me for a while…
Well maybe my news is not as exciting for everyone else… but
what can I say, it brings a smile to my face!
Isn’t that what it’s all about? Hahaha
Following my victoriessss, we went to Gator buffet for
supper. Needless to say, after such a workout, I had a great appetite!
In the evening, I watched hockey with André outside his
motorhome. Canadians lost to Islander (my luck was still going strong)
In the evening, at 9, the water was cut-off in our camping.
The town was doing some scheduled work from 9 pm till 5am and it just happened
that the work was right by our trailer. They had huge lights set up, the kind
you see in outdoor stadiums, and they were making all kind of noises… pretty
much the whole night. I slept through it all, I must be getting immune to
noise! The water was back on this morning, but it doesn’t really bother us
much, in the previous day, knowing about the cut-off, we had filled up our
fresh water tank and were disconnected from the grid.
This morning I read a blog that really make me laugh… I didn’t
take it as a religious vendetta of any kind, I just read it as a light opinion
that has nothing to do with my own, but interesting never the less. So the
warning is given and you can read the blog by clicking HERE.
Psst, psst, there are FIVE dice not six. So it's 1/6 * 1/6 * 1/6 * 1/6 * 1/6. Which means a probability of 1 on 7776 instead of 1 on 46656.
ReplyDeleteWhich of course is the same probability of getting any other specific combination with 5 dice. :D
Still impressive though!
- WWE is a CURRENT Statistics Canada employee
Hey, look! The die are forming a smiley face! :D
Delete- Hairy Toes, who does not do statistics
I can see it too! It's so beautiful!
Delete- WWE
Thanks WWE to point out my mistake (I was using the computer calculator and must have hit the times 6 one too many time).
DeleteYou are almost right but the odds are 1 to 7775.
Yesterday we played dice again... André score a perfect one's on the dice... it was his second time in the week! What are the odds of that!
The dice are NOT smilling... pleaaaase say NO to drug haha
Delete...also, shouldn't winning exactly 4 games out of 5 should have higher odds? You didn't mention any specific order of winning. :D
ReplyDeleteSo you could achieve that win/loss record with :
WWWWL
WWWLW
WWLWW
WLWWW
LWWWW
Giving you a 5/1024 probability of winning 4 out of 5 games. Right?
So...um... am I getting any birthday gifts this year? The odds that I love you very much remain 100%!!!!!!! I swear! :D
- WWE
Wait! No! The odds that you lose are stronger than the odds that you win so...3/4 probability of losing on any one game so... multiply by... wait divide... um... I'm confused! Let's go with what you posted! :D
Delete- WWE
Dear ConfusedInMoncton,
DeleteI don't have my statistic book with me and I knew that somethins was not right about my calculation... but since this is not a blog about stat, I decide to go with a simple formula rather then getting into complex calculation (that I would probably get wrong anyway).